Final Score: Reds 1 - Cubs 6
Wednesday, August 6, 2025 at 2:20 PM ET

Reds @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Reds
60-54 Rating 1500
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +0.5
Cubs
65-48 Rating 1527
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Reds Cubs
All-time wins 410 381
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.7
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Reds Cubs
Games played 114 113
Avg runs scored 4.6 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 53% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 61%