Final Score: Yankees 8 - Astros 4
Thursday, September 4, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET
Yankees @ Astros
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 56 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 8 |
| Stat | Yankees | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 139 | 140 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 58% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Houston Astros
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 15
7-8
@ Houston Astros
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 12
10-2
@ Chicago White Sox
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 14
10-4
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 13
11-2
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Washington Nationals
Aug 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
vs Boston Red Sox
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
Astros
vs New York Yankees
Sep 3, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs New York Yankees
Sep 2, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 8
1-7
vs Los Angeles Angels
Sep 1, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 11
8-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 31, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Los Angeles Angels
Aug 29, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
vs Colorado Rockies
Aug 26, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ Baltimore Orioles
Aug 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3