Final Score: Tigers 2 - Guardians 5
Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET
Tigers @ Guardians
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Tigers | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 438 | 448 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 3 |
| Stat | Tigers | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 156 | 156 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 52% | 55% |
Recent Results
Tigers
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Atlanta Braves
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 11
1-10
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Cleveland Guardians
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Miami Marlins
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ New York Yankees
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
Guardians
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Minnesota Twins
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Detroit Tigers
Sep 16, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Chicago White Sox
Sep 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0