Final Score: Marlins 7 - Yankees 6
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET

Marlins @ Yankees

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
5-3 Rating 1484
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +1.0
Yankees
7-1 Rating 1561
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Yankees
All-time wins 25 26
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 7 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Yankees
Games played 8 8
Avg runs scored 5.2 5.1
Avg runs conceded 4.4 1.9
Win percentage 62% 88%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%