Final Score: Cardinals 9 - Astros 4
Friday, April 17, 2026 at 8:10 PM ET

Cardinals @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cardinals
10-8 Rating 1494
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.4
Astros
8-12 Rating 1512
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cardinals Astros
All-time wins 316 291
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Cardinals Astros
Games played 18 20
Avg runs scored 4.4 5.3
Avg runs conceded 5.4 5.8
Win percentage 56% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 70%