Final Score: Bears 14 - Falcons 21
Sunday, October 18, 2009 at 8:30 PM ET

Bears @ Falcons

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Bears
3-1 Rating 1557
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Atlanta Falcons +2.9
Falcons
3-1 Rating 1562
Form: LWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bears Falcons
All-time wins 10 9
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 17.7 16.7
Last meeting 20 22

Key Season Stats

Stat Bears Falcons
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 26.2 25.5
Avg points conceded 19.5 15.8
Win percentage 75% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 100%