Final Score: Saints 26 - Falcons 23
Sunday, November 13, 2011 at 1:03 PM ET

Saints @ Falcons

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Saints
6-3 Rating 1622
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Atlanta Falcons +2.7
Falcons
5-3 Rating 1616
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Saints Falcons
All-time wins 37 45
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 20.0 21.5
Last meeting 17 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Saints Falcons
Games played 9 8
Avg points scored 31.9 23.6
Avg points conceded 22.8 21.2
Win percentage 67% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 67%