Final Score: Buccaneers 31 - Commanders 23
Saturday, January 9, 2021 at 8:15 PM ET
Buccaneers @ Commanders
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
68%
32%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.1
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Buccaneers | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 11 | 12 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 18.6 | 17.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 16 |
| Stat | Buccaneers | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 30.8 | 20.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.2 | 20.6 |
| Win percentage | 69% | 44% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 38% |
Recent Results
Buccaneers
vs Atlanta Falcons
Jan 3, 2021 · Margin: +17 · Total: 71
44-27
@ Detroit Lions
Dec 26, 2020 · Margin: +40 · Total: 54
47-7
@ Atlanta Falcons
Dec 20, 2020 · Margin: +4 · Total: 58
31-27
vs Minnesota Vikings
Dec 13, 2020 · Margin: +12 · Total: 40
26-14
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 29, 2020 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 23, 2020 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
@ Carolina Panthers
Nov 15, 2020 · Margin: +23 · Total: 69
46-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Nov 8, 2020 · Margin: -35 · Total: 41
3-38
@ New York Giants
Nov 2, 2020 · Margin: +2 · Total: 48
25-23
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 25, 2020 · Margin: +25 · Total: 65
45-20
Commanders
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 3, 2021 · Margin: +6 · Total: 34
20-14
vs Carolina Panthers
Dec 27, 2020 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Seattle Seahawks
Dec 20, 2020 · Margin: -5 · Total: 35
15-20
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 13, 2020 · Margin: +8 · Total: 38
23-15
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 7, 2020 · Margin: +6 · Total: 40
23-17
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 26, 2020 · Margin: +25 · Total: 57
41-16
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 22, 2020 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 15, 2020 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
vs New York Giants
Nov 8, 2020 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 25, 2020 · Margin: +22 · Total: 28
25-3