Final Score: Lightning 4 - Maple Leafs 5
Monday, January 4, 1999 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
9-24-3 Rating 1395
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5
Maple Leafs
21-14-2 Rating 1505
Form: LLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 6 12
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.3 3.7
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 36 37
Avg goals scored 2.1 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.4 2.8
Win percentage 25% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 22% 59%