Final Score: Lightning 7 - Maple Leafs 2
Tuesday, March 23, 2004 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
42-26-8 Rating 1538
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
41-26-9 Rating 1547
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 9 29
Last 5 meetings 1 3
Average goals 2.3 3.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 76 76
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.3 2.5
Win percentage 55% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%