Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 3
Tuesday, January 31, 2006 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
25-26 Rating 1518
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Lightning
27-25 Rating 1534
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 30 11
Last 5 meetings 1 3
Average goals 3.6 2.4
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 51 52
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.0
Avg goals conceded 3.4 2.9
Win percentage 49% 52%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 54%