Final Score: Lightning 1 - Maple Leafs 5
Saturday, March 11, 2006 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
33-30 Rating 1532
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
28-34 Rating 1496
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 12 30
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.4 3.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 63 62
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.4
Win percentage 52% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 56%