Final Score: Avalanche 2 - Lightning 1
Thursday, December 18, 2008 at 7:00 PM ET

Avalanche @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Avalanche
15-16 Rating 1513
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +0.5
Lightning
7-23 Rating 1414
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Avalanche Lightning
All-time wins 14 11
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Avalanche Lightning
Games played 31 30
Avg goals scored 2.8 2.3
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.2
Win percentage 48% 23%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 21%