Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Capitals 1
Thursday, March 5, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
25-39 Rating 1453
Form: WWWWL
Model Probability
35%
65%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +1.3
Capitals
40-25 Rating 1535
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Capitals
All-time wins 49 53
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.5 3.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Capitals
Games played 64 65
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.6 3.0
Win percentage 39% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 74%