Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 1
Tuesday, November 3, 2009 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
4-8 Rating 1411
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.7
Maple Leafs
1-11 Rating 1437
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 17 38
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.5 3.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 12 12
Avg goals scored 2.7 2.5
Avg goals conceded 3.5 4.2
Win percentage 33% 8%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 0%