Final Score: Lightning 3 - Sabres 5
Wednesday, January 6, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Sabres

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
16-25 Rating 1418
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Buffalo Sabres +1.6
Sabres
26-15 Rating 1533
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Sabres
All-time wins 17 41
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.5 3.2
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Sabres
Games played 41 41
Avg goals scored 2.5 2.7
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.3
Win percentage 39% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 61%