Final Score: Lightning 4 - Capitals 5
Thursday, March 4, 2010 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Capitals

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
26-36 Rating 1430
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
27%
73%
Projected margin: Washington Capitals +2.0
Capitals
42-21 Rating 1572
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Capitals
All-time wins 33 58
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.5 3.4
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Capitals
Games played 62 63
Avg goals scored 2.6 4.0
Avg goals conceded 3.0 2.8
Win percentage 42% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 79%