Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Lightning 2
Tuesday, January 25, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
19-29 Rating 1441
Form: LLWLL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0
Lightning
30-20 Rating 1500
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 40 21
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.4 2.5
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 48 50
Avg goals scored 2.6 3.0
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.1
Win percentage 40% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 71%