Final Score: Canadiens 4 - Lightning 2
Saturday, March 5, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Canadiens @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Canadiens
35-30 Rating 1502
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Lightning
37-27 Rating 1500
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Canadiens Lightning
All-time wins 32 33
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.6 2.5
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Canadiens Lightning
Games played 65 64
Avg goals scored 2.6 3.0
Avg goals conceded 2.5 3.0
Win percentage 54% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 66%