Final Score: Maple Leafs 7 - Lightning 1
Tuesday, November 22, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
11-10 Rating 1478
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Lightning
9-10 Rating 1510
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 40 23
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 21 19
Avg goals scored 3.0 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.2
Win percentage 52% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 75%