Final Score: Lightning 3 - Maple Leafs 7
Tuesday, January 3, 2012 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
17-20 Rating 1500
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Maple Leafs
18-20 Rating 1470
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 23 41
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.6 3.4
Last meeting 1 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 37 38
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.3
Win percentage 46% 47%
Away win % / Home win % 29% 47%