Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, February 19, 2013 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
10-6 Rating 1478
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6
Lightning
7-7 Rating 1490
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 44 23
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.4 2.5
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 16 14
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.9
Avg goals conceded 2.2 3.2
Win percentage 62% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 78% 62%