Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 1
Thursday, February 6, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
30-28 Rating 1496
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Lightning
32-24 Rating 1499
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 46 25
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.4 2.6
Last meeting 3 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 58 56
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.5
Win percentage 52% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 37% 64%