Final Score: Lightning 5 - Maple Leafs 3
Wednesday, March 19, 2014 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
37-31 Rating 1490
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
36-34 Rating 1499
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 25 47
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.6 3.4
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 68 70
Avg goals scored 2.9 2.9
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.1
Win percentage 54% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 65%