Final Score: Lightning 5 - Maple Leafs 4
Tuesday, December 15, 2015 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
15-16 Rating 1525
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4
Maple Leafs
10-18 Rating 1432
Form: WLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 29 49
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.6 3.3
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 31 28
Avg goals scored 2.4 2.3
Avg goals conceded 2.2 2.7
Win percentage 48% 36%
Away win % / Home win % 47% 38%