Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Lightning 1
Wednesday, January 27, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
17-30 Rating 1428
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
31%
69%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Lightning
26-22 Rating 1539
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 49 30
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 47 48
Avg goals scored 2.4 2.7
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.4
Win percentage 36% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 58%