Final Score: Lightning 2 - Maple Leafs 1
Monday, February 29, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
36-26 Rating 1554
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
67%
33%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Maple Leafs
21-39 Rating 1420
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 31 49
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.6 3.3
Last meeting 1 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 62 60
Avg goals scored 2.8 2.4
Avg goals conceded 2.4 3.0
Win percentage 58% 35%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 33%