Final Score: Maple Leafs 0 - Lightning 3
Monday, March 28, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
27-47 Rating 1425
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
30%
70%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.6
Lightning
43-32 Rating 1547
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 50 32
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.3 2.6
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 74 75
Avg goals scored 2.4 2.8
Avg goals conceded 2.9 2.4
Win percentage 36% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 36% 61%