Final Score: Lightning 4 - Maple Leafs 1
Thursday, April 6, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
39-40 Rating 1517
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
39-40 Rating 1478
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 34 52
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.6 3.3
Last meeting 0 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 79 79
Avg goals scored 2.8 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.9
Win percentage 49% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 53%