Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 4
Monday, February 26, 2018 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
39-25 Rating 1535
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
42%
58%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Lightning
42-20 Rating 1569
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 53 36
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 64 62
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.6
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.7
Win percentage 61% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 74%