Final Score: Maple Leafs 1 - Lightning 4
Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
21-10 Rating 1556
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8
Lightning
24-8 Rating 1594
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 53 38
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 31 32
Avg goals scored 3.6 4.1
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.8
Win percentage 68% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 75% 78%