Final Score: Senators 1 - Lightning 5
Saturday, March 2, 2019 at 7:00 PM ET

Senators @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
22-42 Rating 1416
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
20%
80%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +2.7
Lightning
49-16 Rating 1622
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Lightning
All-time wins 61 42
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.5 2.7
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Lightning
Games played 64 65
Avg goals scored 3.0 3.9
Avg goals conceded 3.7 2.7
Win percentage 34% 75%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 79%