Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Tuesday, February 25, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
32-31 Rating 1508
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Lightning
40-22 Rating 1604
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 54 42
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.1 2.7
Last meeting 3 7

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 63 62
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.6
Avg goals conceded 3.3 2.8
Win percentage 51% 65%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 69%