Final Score: Lightning 5 - Maple Leafs 3
Thursday, December 9, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
16-9 Rating 1590
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1
Maple Leafs
18-9 Rating 1545
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 42 57
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.7 3.1
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 25 27
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.1
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.4
Win percentage 64% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 67% 73%