Final Score: Maple Leafs 1 - Lightning 8
Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
51-26 Rating 1572
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5
Lightning
46-30 Rating 1568
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 58 43
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.2 2.7
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 77 76
Avg goals scored 3.9 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.8
Win percentage 66% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 58% 63%