Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 4
Saturday, December 3, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 61 | 48 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 25 | 23 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 64% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs San Jose Sharks
Nov 30, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 26, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Minnesota Wild
Nov 25, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Nov 23, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Islanders
Nov 21, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Buffalo Sabres
Nov 19, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Nov 17, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Nov 15, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vancouver Canucks
Nov 12, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Lightning
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 1, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Boston Bruins
Nov 29, 2022 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Buffalo Sabres
Nov 28, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs St. Louis Blues
Nov 25, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 21, 2022 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Nashville Predators
Nov 19, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 17, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Dallas Stars
Nov 15, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 13, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Washington Capitals
Nov 11, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5