Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Tuesday, April 11, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 62 | 49 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 80 | 80 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 69% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 10, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 8, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Boston Bruins
Apr 6, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 4, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 2, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 1, 2023 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 29, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Nashville Predators
Mar 26, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 25, 2023 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 23, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
Lightning
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 8, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ New York Islanders
Apr 6, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Rangers
Apr 5, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs New York Islanders
Apr 1, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Washington Capitals
Mar 30, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 28, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 25, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 23, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 21, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 19, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5