Final Score: Lightning 5 - Maple Leafs 6
Monday, November 6, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
5-6 Rating 1522
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
5-6 Rating 1542
Form: WLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 51 68
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.8 3.2
Last meeting 3 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 11 11
Avg goals scored 3.6 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.4
Win percentage 45% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 20% 40%