Final Score: Lightning 4 - Maple Leafs 1
Wednesday, April 3, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
41-33 Rating 1543
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6
Maple Leafs
43-31 Rating 1560
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 51 69
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.8 3.2
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 74 74
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.7
Avg goals conceded 3.3 3.1
Win percentage 55% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 57%