Final Score: Senators 3 - Lightning 4
Tuesday, February 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Senators @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 69 | 51 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 4 |
| Stat | Senators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 53 | 51 |
| Avg goals scored | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 46% | 64% |
Recent Results
Senators
@ Nashville Predators
Feb 3, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ New York Rangers
Jan 21, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ New Jersey Devils
Jan 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Boston Bruins
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
Lightning
vs New York Islanders
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 16, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6