Final Score: Lightning 3 - Flyers 4
Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Flyers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 60 | 58 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 64 | 66 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 44% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Mar 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Calgary Flames
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Seattle Kraken
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
Flyers
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 9, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Winnipeg Jets
Mar 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Edmonton Oilers
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2