Final Score: Golden Knights 2 - Blackhawks 3
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Golden Knights @ Blackhawks
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.3
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Golden Knights | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 7 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Golden Knights | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 39 | 41 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 39% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 47% | 40% |
Recent Results
Golden Knights
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Nashville Predators
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Colorado Avalanche
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs San Jose Sharks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Edmonton Oilers
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Calgary Flames
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs New Jersey Devils
Dec 17, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Blackhawks
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Dallas Stars
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New York Islanders
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Dallas Stars
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Montreal Canadiens
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4