Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 4
Saturday, May 3, 2003 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
17-13 Rating 1505
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Padres
11-18 Rating 1456
Form: LLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 200 179
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 30 29
Avg runs scored 5.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.1
Win percentage 57% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 43%