Final Score: Phillies 3 - Padres 1
Sunday, May 4, 2003 at 5:00 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
18-13 Rating 1507
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.3
Padres
11-19 Rating 1454
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 201 179
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.3
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 31 30
Avg runs scored 5.2 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.7 5.1
Win percentage 58% 37%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 40%