Final Score: Padres 4 - Phillies 5
Friday, May 21, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
23-18 Rating 1473
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
22-17 Rating 1522
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 181 204
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 5 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 41 39
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 56% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 53% 59%