Final Score: Padres 9 - Phillies 6
Saturday, May 22, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Padres @ Phillies

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
23-19 Rating 1471
Form: LWWLL
Model Probability
40%
60%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Phillies
23-17 Rating 1523
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Phillies
All-time wins 181 205
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.2 4.4
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Phillies
Games played 42 40
Avg runs scored 4.5 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.2
Win percentage 55% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 61%