Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Nationals 6
Sunday, July 4, 2004 at 1:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
36-45 Rating 1494
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.1
Nationals
27-52 Rating 1461
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Nationals
All-time wins 24 18
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.1 4.5
Last meeting 2 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Nationals
Games played 81 79
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.4
Avg runs conceded 4.7 4.6
Win percentage 44% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 38%