Final Score: Padres 7 - Astros 4
Saturday, July 17, 2004 at 4:05 PM ET

Padres @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
48-41 Rating 1479
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.5
Astros
44-45 Rating 1506
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Astros
All-time wins 256 281
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 3.9 4.0
Last meeting 5 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Astros
Games played 89 89
Avg runs scored 4.3 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.1 4.3
Win percentage 54% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 51%