Final Score: Phillies 5 - Padres 3
Thursday, August 5, 2004 at 10:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
55-52 Rating 1511
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
49%
51%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.0
Padres
58-49 Rating 1487
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Padres
All-time wins 208 182
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 7 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Padres
Games played 107 107
Avg runs scored 4.9 4.4
Avg runs conceded 4.9 4.2
Win percentage 51% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 54%