Final Score: Astros 5 - Pirates 4
Sunday, September 12, 2004 at 7:05 PM ET

Astros @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Astros
77-66 Rating 1523
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
53%
47%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Pirates
66-76 Rating 1468
Form: WWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Astros Pirates
All-time wins 228 217
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.1
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Astros Pirates
Games played 143 142
Avg runs scored 5.0 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 4.6
Win percentage 54% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 54% 51%